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Home Β» Predictions Β» Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20 Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Tuesday, 07 January 2025, 19h45 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Itapirense U20 Itapirense U20
PREDICTION No tip
Portuguesa Desportos U20 Portuguesa Desportos U20
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Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20 Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20, Tuesday, 7/1/2025
πŸ“… 7/1/2025
19:45
Itapirense U20 Itapirense U20
2.23
X
3.18
Portuguesa Desportos U20 Portuguesa Desportos U20
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20

Important information for your tip for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Itapirense U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
πŸ‘‰ Portuguesa Desportos U20 did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Itapirense U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 Itapirense U20 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Itapirense U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 7 of January

🏟️ Itapirense U20 X Portuguesa Desportos U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
πŸ“… 7 of January, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Itapirense U20 – Winning probability: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.12
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.53% | Fair line: 3.77
πŸ”΄ Portuguesa Desportos U20 – Winning probability: 49.22% | Fair line: 2.03
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Itapirense U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243026 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20

Is it a good idea to bet on Itapirense U20?

πŸ”΅ Itapirense U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $295.20;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$464.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $588.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$141.40.

Is it worth betting on Portuguesa Desportos U20?

πŸ”΄ Portuguesa Desportos U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $980.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$470.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Itapirense U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Itapirense U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Itapirense U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Portuguesa Desportos U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Itapirense U20 x Portuguesa Desportos U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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