Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd Betting tips for January 14 in Wales Premier League
📅 14/1/2025 19:45 |
Caernarfon Town 2.10 |
X 3.45 |
Flint Town Utd 3.07 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd:
🔮 Caernarfon Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caernarfon Town, you can win up to $1050.00!
Important information for your tip for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0. |
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Analysis from Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd for the Wales Premier League – 14 of January
🏟️ Caernarfon Town X Flint Town Utd – Wales Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Caernarfon Town and Flint Town Utd.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
Is betting on Caernarfon Town worth it?
🔵 Caernarfon Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $627.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$197.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $514.50
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.50.
Is betting on Flint Town Utd worth it?
🔴 Flint Town Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $455.40;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$324.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caernarfon Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Caernarfon Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Caernarfon Town.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Caernarfon Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.