Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Bala Town x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Premier League
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h45 Wales Premier League
Bala Town Bala Town
PREDICTION Bala Town wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
ODD: @1.71 Don't miss this prediction!

Bala Town x Caernarfon Town Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:45
Bala Town Bala Town
1.71
X
3.70
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
4.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town:

🔮 Bala Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bala Town, you can win up to $855.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bala Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Caernarfon Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Caernarfon Town, Bala Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bala Town is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Bala Town has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Caernarfon Town playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bala Town x Caernarfon Town?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bala Town x Caernarfon Town:

Analysis from Bala Town x Caernarfon Town for the Wales Premier League – 11 of January

🏟️ Bala Town X Caernarfon Town – Wales Premier League
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:45
🔵 Bala Town – Winning probability: 68.40% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.43% | Fair line: 5.42
🔴 Caernarfon Town – Winning probability: 13.17% | Fair line: 7.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bala Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town

Is it a good idea to bet on Bala Town?

🔵 Bala Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $482.80
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$334.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Caernarfon Town?

🔴 Caernarfon Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $396.50;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$473.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bala Town x Caernarfon Town

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bala Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bala Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bala Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Caernarfon Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bala Town x Caernarfon Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters