Udinese x Atalanta Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie A
📅 11/1/2025 14:00 |
Udinese 4.60 |
X 3.90 |
Atalanta 1.70 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Udinese x Atalanta:
🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $850.00!
Important information for your tip for Udinese x Atalanta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. |
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Analysis from Udinese x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 11 of January
🏟️ Udinese X Atalanta – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Udinese and Atalanta.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244472 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Atalanta
Should you bet on Udinese?
🔵 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$770.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $290.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.00.
Is it worth betting on Atalanta?
🔴 Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $588.00;
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$428.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Atalanta
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Atalanta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Udinese.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Atalanta
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.