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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Como x AC Milan Betting tips for January 14 in Italy Serie A
Tuesday, 14 January 2025, 17h30 Italy Serie A
Como Como
PREDICTION AC Milan Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
AC Milan AC Milan
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Como x AC Milan Betting tips for January 14 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Como x AC Milan, Tuesday, 14/1/2025
📅 14/1/2025
17:30
Como Como
3.84
X
3.50
AC Milan AC Milan
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Como x AC Milan:

🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $975.00!

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The main points for the tip for Como x AC Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $27.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $547.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Como scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, AC Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Como matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 AC Milan is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Como x AC Milan?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Como x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 14 of January

🏟️ Como X AC Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 14 of January, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Como – Winning probability: 25.36% | Fair line: 3.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.91% | Fair line: 5.29
🔴 AC Milan – Winning probability: 55.73% | Fair line: 1.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Como x AC Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Como x AC Milan

Is it a good idea to bet on Como?

🔵 Como: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $710.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on AC Milan worth it?

🔴 AC Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Como x AC Milan

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x AC Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Como and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Como.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Como.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x AC Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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