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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » NEC x Almere City FC Betting tips for February 16 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 16 February 2025, 11h15 Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC NEC
PREDICTION NEC wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Almere City FC Almere City FC
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

NEC x Almere City FC Betting tips for February 16 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NEC x Almere City FC, Sunday, 16/2/2025
📅 16/2/2025
11:15
NEC NEC
1.50
X
4.20
Almere City FC Almere City FC
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NEC x Almere City FC:

🔮 NEC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NEC, you can win up to $750.00!

🔮 Almere City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Almere City FC, you can win up to $3000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for NEC x Almere City FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Almere City FC.

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Summary

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Analysis from NEC x Almere City FC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 16 of February

🏟️ NEC X Almere City FC – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 16 of February, 2025 – 11:15
🔵 NEC – Winning probability: 73.09% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.08% | Fair line: 11.01
🔴 Almere City FC – Winning probability: 17.83% | Fair line: 5.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NEC and Almere City FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1263477 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NEC x Almere City FC

Is it a good idea to bet on NEC?

🔵 NEC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $365.00;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$95.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $288.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

Is betting on Almere City FC worth it?

🔴 Almere City FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $900.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x Almere City FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x Almere City FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 NEC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 NEC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 NEC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x Almere City FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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