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Home Β» Predictions Β» Leon x Unam Pumas Betting tips for March 31 in Mexico Liga MX
Monday, 31 March 2025, 01h05 Mexico Liga MX
Leon Leon
PREDICTION No tip
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
Don't miss this prediction!

Leon x Unam Pumas Betting tips for March 31 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Leon x Unam Pumas, Monday, 31/3/2025
πŸ“… 31/3/2025
01:05
Leon Leon
2.05
X
3.35
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leon x Unam Pumas:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Leon x Unam Pumas

The main points for the tip for Leon x Unam Pumas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $407.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Unam Pumas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Unam Pumas, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Unam Pumas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Leon conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Unam Pumas.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Leon x Unam Pumas?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Leon x Unam Pumas:

Analysis from Leon x Unam Pumas for the Mexico Liga MX – 31 of March

🏟️ Leon X Unam Pumas – Mexico Liga MX
πŸ“… 31 of March, 2025 – 01:05
πŸ”΅ Leon – Winning probability: 43.27% | Fair line: 2.31
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.73% | Fair line: 3.74
πŸ”΄ Unam Pumas – Winning probability: 30.00% | Fair line: 3.33
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.5 Leon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leon x Unam Pumas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291828 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leon x Unam Pumas

Should you bet on Leon?

πŸ”΅ Leon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $451.50
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$118.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $634.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$95.50.

Is betting on Unam Pumas worth it?

πŸ”΄ Unam Pumas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $690.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$10.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leon x Unam Pumas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.5 Leon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Leon x Unam Pumas

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Leon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Leon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: -0.25 Leon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leon x Unam Pumas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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