Bologna x Napoli Betting tips for April 7 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Napoli, Monday, 7/4/2025

📅 7/4/2025 18:45

Bologna 2.86

X 3.06

Napoli 2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bologna x Napoli:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Bologna x Napoli

The main points for the tip for Bologna x Napoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $510.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bologna scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Bologna is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Bologna x Napoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Napoli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bologna x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 7 of April

When the best bet on Bologna x Napoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1297124 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x Napoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $613.80
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$56.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $638.60
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$51.40.

Should you bet on Napoli?

🔴 Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $592.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$38.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Napoli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.