Juventus x Lecce Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Juventus x Lecce, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 18:45

Juventus 1.35

X 4.78

Lecce 9.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Juventus x Lecce:

🔮 Juventus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $675.00!

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Important information for your tip for Juventus x Lecce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $161.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lecce, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Juventus has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Lecce.

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Analysis from Juventus x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juventus and Lecce.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Lecce

Is it worth betting on Juventus?

🔵 Juventus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 870 times – profiting $304.50;
• And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$174.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $378.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$522.00.

Is betting on Lecce worth it?

🔴 Lecce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $240.00;
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$730.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Lecce

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Juventus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Juventus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Juventus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.