Udinese x Genoa Betting tips for December 8 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Genoa, Monday, 8/12/2025

📅 8/12/2025 17:00

Udinese 2.40

X 3.00

Genoa 3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Udinese x Genoa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Udinese x Genoa

The main points for the tip for Udinese x Genoa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $361.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 6 Genoa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Genoa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Udinese vs Genoa?

Lets analyze the match between Udinese and Genoa at Bluenergy Stadium, Udineses home ground, which has shown decent performance in recent home games with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The average goals scored at home is 1 per game, while they also concede about 1 goal per match. Genoa struggles away, with a high average of 2 goals conceded per game and only 1 goal scored on average. Additionally, the visiting team has less ball possession (39%) compared to Udinese (48%), indicating Udinese should control more of the game.

Median odds suggest a slight advantage for Udinese to win (2.4), with draws and Genoa wins being more expensive (3 and 3.1 respectively). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities gives approximately: Udinese win ~42%, draw ~33%, Genoa win ~32%. Considering Genoas weak defensive stats away from home and their position in the relegation zone fighting to escape it, combined with Udinese playing at their usual home ground with good recent performance, my fair estimate would be: Udinese win ~45%, draw ~30%, Genoa win ~25%.

Calculating fair odds based on this analysis would give values close to: Udinese around 2.22; draw around 3.33; Genoa around 4.0 — indicating that bookmakers are slightly underestimating the risk of betting on the visitor.

The expected value calculated using the final odds indicates that none of the bets have a positive expected value above +5% recommended for a safe bet according to our strict criteria.

📰 News: The absence of midfielder Arthur Atta may negatively impact Udineses midfield but does not seem to be a critical absence enough to drastically change their chances given Genoas recent defensive struggles away and their fight against relegation after heavy defeats in the Coppa Italia.

📈 Positional Analysis: Genoas fight against relegation adds extra pressure on them in this crucial away match, while Udinese is in a less desperate situation and can play more comfortably at their home ground, Bluenergy Stadium.

Final analysis: I partially agree with the probabilities suggested by the Bets Kenya model regarding the higher chance of the home team (Udinese) winning, but I believe it overestimates the visitors chances to win or draw given their poor defensive stats away and their current bad form this season. My suggestion is to avoid aggressive bets in this match as there is no clear positive expected value in the current odds — better to wait for adjustments or look for alternative markets like under/over or both teams to score where there might be better opportunities!

Bet responsibly! ⚽💰

Looking for another bookie to bet on Udinese x Genoa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Udinese x Genoa:

Analysis from Udinese x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 8 of December

When the best bet on Udinese x Genoa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449456 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

The latest news about Udinese x Genoa

Udinese Calcio: Udinese Calcio confirmed that midfielder Arthur Atta suffered a hamstring injury on his left leg, started a rehabilitation program, and will be evaluated weekly by the medical team for his return to activities. In the most recent match, the team was eliminated from the Coppa Italia after a 2-0 defeat to Juventus on December 2, 2025.

Genoa: Genoa is currently struggling to escape the relegation zone in Serie A, holding the third position from the bottom with eight points after the first half of the season, while local rival Verona is in last place with six points. The clubs recent league form includes a crucial 2-1 home victory against Verona on November 29, 2025, with goals from Belghali, Colombo, and Thorsby, after a win against Sassuolo and draws with Fiorentina and Cagliari. Their cup run ended on December 3, 2025, when they were defeated 4-0 by Atalanta in the Coppa Italia, ending a long streak of appearances in the knockout stages.

Table analysis for the match between Udinese and Genoa

Udinese: Udinese is in 9th place with 18 points, far from the relegation zone but also still distant from European competition spots. This match is important to keep adding points that ensure a comfortable position on the table and, who knows, start moving closer to the group fighting for a UEFA spot. Its not a decisive game, but losing points could bring them closer to danger, so its worth trying hard to win!

Genoa: Genoa is in a more delicate situation, in 16th place with only 11 points, near the relegation zone. For them, this game is extremely important to earn points that remove the risk of relegation and keep the team in Serie A. Every point gained here is valuable to avoid a tough season. Therefore, the match carries significant weight for Genoa and might even set the tone for upcoming rounds in the fight against relegation.

Summary: This confrontation is decisive mainly for Genoa, which fights against relegation, while for Udinese it’s an opportunity to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. The game is more important for the visiting team, but both have reasons to go into the field eager to win. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Genoa

Should you bet on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on Genoa worth it?

🔴 Genoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Genoa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Genoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Udinese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Genoa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Genoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.