AVS x Nacional Betting tips for December 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 21/12/2025 15:30 |
 AVS3.08 |
X 3.10 |
Nacional  2.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AVS x Nacional:
🔮 Nacional wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional, you can win up to $1150.00!
Important information for your tip for AVS x Nacional:
👉 If you had bet $100 on AVS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-394.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AVS x Nacional?
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Analysis from AVS x Nacional for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of December
🏟️ AVS X Nacional – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 AVS – Winning probability: 21.59% | Fair line: 4.63
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.97% | Fair line: 3.34
🔴 Nacional – Winning probability: 48.44% | Fair line: 2.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AVS x Nacional right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Latest news on the match between AVS and Nacional
AVS Futebol SAD: AVS Futebol SAD, which plays its home matches at the CD das Aves Stadium in Vila das Aves, is at the bottom of the Portugal Betclic League with zero wins, three draws, and eleven losses, a negative goal difference of 28, and only three points, occupying 18th place and the relegation zone. The team suffered a 6-0 defeat to Sporting CP on December 13, 2025, and will face Benfica at Estádio da Luz on February 22, 2026, after previous matches against FC Arouca (January 18, 2026) and CD Estrela Amadora (March 1, 2026). The U-19 team drew 0-0 with CD Nacional U-19 on December 13, 2025.
CD Nacional: CD Nacional maintained its good form in the Primeira Liga with a 3-1 victory over Tondela on December 15, 2025, and will seek to improve this performance when facing AVS Futebol SAD on December 21, 2025. Meanwhile, the clubs U-19 team drew 0-0 with AVS U-19 on December 13, the U-15 team is scheduled to face AC Marinhense U-15 on December 20, and the B team will play against Sporting Clube Madeira on the same day in the Madeira regional league.
Tips for the 1×2 market for AVS x Nacional
Is it worth betting on AVS?
🔵 AVS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $457.60;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$322.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.
Should you bet on Nacional?
🔴 Nacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $624.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$104.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AVS x Nacional
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AVS
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVS x Nacional
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 AVS and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AVS.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Nacional.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVS x Nacional
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
