Benfica x Famalicao Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 22/12/2025 20:45 |
 Benfica1.34 |
X 4.92 |
Famalicao  8.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Benfica x Famalicao:
🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $670.00!
Important information for your tip for Benfica x Famalicao:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-122.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Famalicao, Benfica scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Famalicao has not lost any of them.
👉 Benfica has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Famalicao playing at home.
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Analysis from Benfica x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 22 of December
🏟️ Benfica X Famalicao – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 22 of December, 2025 – 20:45
🔵 Benfica – Winning probability: 87.96% | Fair line: 1.14
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.90% | Fair line: 10.1
🔴 Famalicao – Winning probability: 2.14% | Fair line: 46.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Benfica and Famalicao.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454884 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Benfica x Famalicao
Should you bet on Benfica?
🔵 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $299.20;
- And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$179.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $392.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$508.00.
Should you bet on Famalicao?
🔴 Famalicao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Famalicao
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Famalicao
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Benfica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Benfica. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Famalicao
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
