Famalicao x Estrela Betting tips for December 27 in Portugal Primeira Liga
| 📅 27/12/2025 18:00 |
 Famalicao1.66 |
X 3.76 |
Estrela  5.05 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Famalicao x Estrela:
🔮 Estrela wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estrela, you can win up to $2525.00!
The main points for the tip for Famalicao x Estrela:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-143.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 5 Estrela matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Estrela conceded at least 2 goal(s).
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Analysis from Famalicao x Estrela for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 27 of December
🏟️ Famalicao X Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga
📅 27 of December, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Famalicao – Winning probability: 63.22% | Fair line: 1.58
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.62% | Fair line: 6.02
🔴 Estrela – Winning probability: 20.16% | Fair line: 4.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Famalicao x Estrela is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455955 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Famalicao x Estrela
Is it worth betting on Famalicao?
🔵 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $415.80
- And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$45.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $469.20;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Estrela?
🔴 Estrela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $810.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$10.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao x Estrela
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao x Estrela
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Famalicao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Famalicao.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao x Estrela
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
