Cremonese x Cagliari Betting tips for January 8 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cremonese x Cagliari, Thursday, 8/1/2026

📅 8/1/2026 17:30

Cremonese 2.25

X 3.12

Cagliari 3.22

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cremonese x Cagliari:

🔮 Cremonese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cremonese x Cagliari:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cagliari scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Cremonese vs Cagliari:

Lets analyze the match between Cremonese and Cagliari at Stadio Giovanni Zini, which is Cremoneses usual stadium, giving them the home advantage. 📍

📈 In the Serie A table, Cremonese is in 12th place and Cagliari in 14th, both fighting to escape the relegation zone. This indicates a clear need for points from both sides, but with a slight favoritism towards Cremonese for playing at home and being slightly better positioned.

Cremonese has shown offensive difficulties recently: scored only 5 goals in the last 5 home games (average of 1 goal per game), while conceding 8 goals (1.6 per game). Additionally, their possession average is lower than the opponents (46% vs 54%), indicating they tend to face pressure even when playing at home. The visiting team Cagliari is also not much better: averages 1 goal scored away and concedes about 1 goal per game away from their stadium; their possession is even lower (39%), showing difficulty controlling the game away.

Analyzing the median odds offered by bookmakers: Cremonese win @2.25, draw @3.17, Cagliari win @3.25; the normalized implied probabilities are approximately:

• Cremonese win: ~44%
• Draw: ~31%
• Cagliari win: ~30%

Considering the weak defensive stats of both teams and their low recent goal averages, betting on a draw or a narrow home win seems plausible.

The Bets Kenya model forecast suggests fair odds lower for the home team (~2.05) with a high positive expected value (+15.9%), indicating confidence in Cremoneses victory; draws and away wins have negative expected values.

However, looking deeper into recent stats — especially the offensive struggles of the home team that havent scored in three consecutive games — I would slightly adjust this probability towards a more balanced scenario between a draw and a close home victory.

📰 About recent news:

• Cremonese has no wins or goals in the last three league games; midfielder Collocolo might return only in the next round;
• Cagliari recently lost to Milan but received praise from coach Allegri;
• Off-field tensions could affect Cagliaris morale;
• The transfer window is moving both teams, mainly seeking offensive reinforcements.

Given all this, my suggestion is to bet on Cremonese victory, but cautiously due to recent offensive fragility — fair odds calculated around @2.10/@2.20 considering technical factors + news + league position.
The expected value of this bet is positive above +10%, confirming it as a good opportunity given the final odds offered (@2.375).

Final summary:
Bet on Cremonese to win, because despite recent difficulties, they play at their traditional stadium with strong local support; the opponent also shows limitations away from home.
Avoid bets on a draw or away team due to low overall offensive expectations.
Good luck! ⚽🔥

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cremonese x Cagliari?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cremonese x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 8 of January

Latest news about Cremonese x Cagliari

US Cremonese: US Cremonese started 2026 in a precarious position in Serie A, nine points above the relegation zone (Pisa and Verona) and twelve points behind Fiorentina after a 1-0 defeat to the Viola at Artemio Franchi on January 4, with Moise Kean scoring the winning goal. The club has faced difficulties in recent weeks, failing to win or score in the last three league matches, earning only one point during this period, although they kept a clean sheet in three of their last eight away games. Injury updates indicate that midfielder Collocolo, listed for matchweek 19, is expected to return in matchweek 21, while defender Bianchetti remains under assessment. In the transfer market, Cremonese is linked to a possible signing of forward Johnsen, with interest from a Lombard club, as the team continues to seek an offensive reinforcement after Brunoris departure to Sampdoria.

Cagliari: Cagliari started the new year with a 0-1 loss to AC Milan at Unipoli Domus, with Rafael Leão scoring the only goal, and coach Massimiliano Allegri praised the teams effort in the second half, though he warned that the fight for the scudetto is still premature; the match began with a minute of silence in honor of the victims of the Crans-Montana tragedy. After the game, Cagliari received disciplinary notices, with midfielder Idrissi and defender Marco Palestra receiving cards, while off-field attention turned to a violent incident involving the coach Fabio Pisacanes brother, Gianluca, who was shot in the leg during an altercation. Transfer activity is focused on strengthening the midfield, with Cagliari observing Nicolussi Caviglia, Adzic, Vergara, and Brescianini, while the striker market shows interest in Maldini, although the attempt to sign young forward Pisilli is complicated by Lazios interest.

Italy Serie A table analysis for Cremonese x Cagliari

Cremonese: Cremonese is in 13th place with 21 points, quite far from the relegation zone, which starts at 18th place with only 12 points. Therefore, their stay in Serie A is relatively secure. Still, they are far from the spots for European competitions, which begin at 6th place with 30 points. With some rounds ahead, this match is important for Cremonese to maintain or improve their position on the table, especially to move away from the danger zone or to seek a slightly better position in the standings.

Cagliari: Cagliari is in 14th place with 18 points, a little behind Cremonese. Like their opponent, Cagliari is comfortable regarding relegation, as the 18th place is 6 points away. However, they are far from reaching the spots for international tournaments. Therefore, this game is important for Cagliari to try to climb the table and gain more confidence for the rest of the season, avoiding any surprises at the end of the championship.

Summary: The match between Cremonese and Cagliari is important for both teams, mainly to escape the risk zone and seek a slightly better position on the table, even without real chances of competing for titles or European competitions at this moment. It is a confrontation that can influence security ambitions for the final stretch of Serie A. ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cremonese x Cagliari

When the best bet on Cremonese x Cagliari is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460319 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it a good idea to bet on Cremonese?

🔵 Cremonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $587.50;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$57.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $530.00
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔴 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $599.40
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x Cagliari

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Cremonese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cremonese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cremonese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.