Udinese x Pisa Betting tips for January 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Pisa, Saturday, 10/1/2026

📅 10/1/2026 14:00

Udinese 1.93

X 3.20

Pisa 4.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Udinese x Pisa:

🔮 Udinese wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Udinese x Pisa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $408.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Udinese vs Pisa:

Lets analyze the match between Udinese and Pisa that will take place at Bluenergy Stadium, Udineses home ground, a stadium with a capacity of about 25,000 spectators, ensuring a favorable environment for the home team.

📈 Table analysis: Udinese is in 11th place in Serie A with 22 points after 18 matches, while Pisa is close to the relegation zone with only 12 points and no recent wins. This shows a clear moral advantage and a greater need for victory for Udinese, which aims to move away from the lower part of the table.

Statistically, Udinese has an average of about 1 goal scored at home per game and concedes about 1 goal per match. Pisa, on the other hand, struggles offensively away from home (lower average) and concedes more goals (around 2). Additionally, data shows that in the last five home games Udinese has won twice, with no wins for Pisa away.

The normalization of the implicit probabilities of median odds (1/1.93 ≈0.518; 1/3.2 ≈0.3125; 1/4.49 ≈0.222) sums to approximately 1.0525; normalizing gives: home win ~49%, draw ~30%, away win ~21%. This aligns well with recent team statistics.

The fair odds calculated indicate a realistic probability for Udineses victory close to the bookmakers odds: around fair odds of ~2 (50%) makes sense given their better home performance and league position.

The Bets Kenya model suggests very low odds for the home win (~1.47), indicating high confidence in this bet with a positive expected value above +30%. However, this odd may underestimate the risk of a draw or even a Pisa upset considering their relatively solid defense in recent away matches (only one loss in the last five away games).

Nevertheless, considering recent news — such as important reinforcements made by Udinese including Juan David Arizala — and Pisas current offensive struggles even after recent expensive signings — further reinforce the local advantage.

Therefore, my recommendation is to follow the models tip betting on Udineses victory, as there is clear value in this bet given their superior technical, moral, and home advantage confirmed by Bluenergy Stadium being their usual stadium 🏟️

📰 News:
The arrival of Colombian full-back Arizala strengthens the home team defensively.
Pisa tries to react by signing expensive forward Durosinmi but has not won recently.
These factors increase confidence in the local favoritism despite the low odds suggested by the market.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Udinese x Pisa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Udinese x Pisa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Udinese x Pisa for the Italy Serie A – 10 of January

Latest news about Udinese x Pisa

Udinese: Udinese is currently competing in the 2025/26 Serie A season under coach Kosta Runjaic, holding 11th place after 18 matches with 22 points and a goal difference of -11. Recent lineups included Oliver Okoye in goal, three defenders Kristensen, Christian Kabasele, and Oumar Solet, midfielders Zanoli, Miller, Karl Strom, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, and Kamara, and the attacking duo Niccolò Zaniolo and Keinan Davis, while the squad has been dealing with absences of Zemura, Arthur Atta, Bayo, Buksa, and Palma. In recent games, Udinese lost 1-0 to Como on January 3, 2026, but recovered two days later with a 2-1 victory over Torino at Olimpico Grande Torino, thanks to goals from Zaniolo and Ekkelenkamp; the match against Torino also marked Arthur Attas return to the squad amid ongoing doubts about the goalkeeper position between Okoye and Padelli. The clubs most notable recent signing is Colombian full-back Juan David Arizala, who arrived permanently from Independiente Medellín with a contract until June 30, 2030, and will wear shirt number 20.

Pisa: Pisa, managed by Gabriele Gilardino, is near the lower part of Serie A with 12 points, having not won a league match since their 1-0 victory over Cremonese on November 7, with recent draws against Cagliari (2-2) and Genoa (1-1) before losing to Como; their last lineup against Como on January 6, 2026, was a 3-5-2 with Semper; Caracciolo, Canestrelli, and Coppola in defense, Angori, Marin, Aebischer, Piccinini, and Touré on the wings, with Nzola and Tramoni in attack, while the club has just completed its most expensive signing so far, securing Nigerian forward Rafiu Durosinmi from Viktoria Plzen for €9 million plus €2 million in bonuses, aiming to revive a struggling attack.

Table analysis for the match between Udinese and Pisa

Udinese: Currently in 10th place with 25 points, Udinese is comfortably in the middle of the table but still far from European competition spots, which require being among the top teams. With few mathematical chances to reach the top positions and no immediate risk of relegation (positioned far from the drop zone), this match is important to maintain a good streak and try to climb a few positions, but it is not decisive for bigger goals this season.

Pisa: In 20th and last place with only 12 points, Pisa is in the relegation zone and at serious risk of dropping to the second division. Every point is crucial to try to escape relegation, especially playing away against a better-ranked team. Therefore, this match is vital for Pisa, as a victory could give an essential boost in the fight against relegation.

Summary: The game is critical for Pisa, which fights against relegation, while for Udinese it is important to maintain stability and seek an improvement in the standings, but it is not a decisive confrontation for their objectives. In other words, the match carries more weight for the visiting team.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Pisa

When the best bet on Udinese x Pisa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460537 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it worth betting on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $632.40
• And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$312.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $396.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it worth betting on Pisa?

🔴 Pisa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $483.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$377.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Pisa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Pisa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Udinese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Udinese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Pisa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.