Como x Bologna Betting tips for January 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Como x Bologna, Saturday, 10/1/2026

📅 10/1/2026 14:00

Como 2.10

X 3.25

Bologna 3.54

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Como x Bologna:

🔮 Como wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Como, you can win up to $1050.00!

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $1770.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Como x Bologna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 Como did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Como matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Como is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Como vs Bologna?

Lets analyze the match between Como and Bologna that will take place at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, the rightful home of Como, which already gives a natural advantage to the home team. 🏟️

📈 Como is in good form in Serie A, occupying 6th place with 27 points in 16 games, while Bologna is just behind in 7th place with 26 points. This proximity in the table shows that both teams are motivated to seek victory, but Como has a slight favoritism for playing at home and being more consistent recently.

Recent performance of Como is very solid: in the last five home games, they scored an average of 1.6 goals per match (8 goals/5 games) and conceded only 0.2 goals (1 goal/5 games), besides winning four of these five matches without losing any. Bologna away from home has a lower offensive average (1.4 goals scored in the last five away games) and concedes more goals (1.4 conceded). This indicates a defensive balance favorable to Como.

Analyzing the median odds from betting houses we have:

• Como win: median odds of 2.10 → implied probability ≈ 47.62%
• Draw: median odds of 3.25 → implied probability ≈ 30.77%
• Bologna win: median odds of 3.52 → implied probability ≈ 28.41%

The sum of these probabilities is greater than one due to the house margin (~106%), so normalizing we get approximately:

• Como wins: ~44.9%
• Draw: ~29%
• Bologna wins: ~26%

Based on recent offensive and defensive statistics of the teams combined with the clear advantage of Comos home stadium (Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia), my fair estimate would be something close to:

• Como victory: about 45-50%
• Draw: about 25-30%
• Bologna victory:: about 20-25%

Thus, the fair odds forecast would be something like:
If a bettor wants fair odds based on the combined analysis:

• If they bet on the expected model victory – fair odds between @2.0 to @2.22.
• If draw – fair odds close to @3.33.
• If away victory – fair odds close to @4 or higher.

Looking at the final odds offered by the bookmakers:
Como victory is quoted at @1.909
Draw at @3.3
Bologna victory at @4.2

Evaluating expected value using my fair odds versus these final odds:
Positive expected value clearly appears in the bet on the away victory (@4+ against my fair prediction just above @4), but this bet carries risk as statistically the visitor has not been doing well away.
Betting on a draw or the home team offers lower expected value according to this analysis.

It is very important to highlight recent news 📰 about the teams:
Como is in good form under the modern tactical command of Fàbregas; highlight for Douvikas as top scorer; reinforcements arriving; tactical scheme defined.
Bologna suffers from important injuries including starting goalkeeper Skorupski and forward Bernardeschi; limited squad; recent poor form with few wins;

Given this, I partially agree with our Bets Kenya model that suggests positive value in the away victory despite their current difficulties — it can be a risky but potentially profitable bet if we consider the high odds given to Bologna.
My final recommendation is caution on this bet but it’s worth considering combined or multiple bets also valuing draws as a possible result given the technical/tactical balance observed.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Como x Bologna?

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Analysis from Como x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 10 of January

Latest news on Como x Bologna

How: Como is currently experiencing a strong phase in Serie A under the management of coach Cesc Fàbregas, with Greek forward Anastasios Douvikas standing out as the teams focal point after scoring a double against Pisa and reaching six goals in the league, including the decisive penalty in the 1-0 victory over Udinese; the teams recent tactical setups have been in 4-2-3-1, with Douvikas leading the attack, supported by Nico Paz and Jesús Rodríguez, while goalkeeper Leonardo Butez remains in goal and the defense is commanded by Van Der Brempt, Kempf, Ramon, and Moreno. Transfer rumors indicate that Como is eyeing Ecuadorian forward Kevin Rodríguez, from Union Saint-Gilloise, as an additional attacking option, and the club secured the signing of young goalkeeper Martinelli (born in 2006) from Fiorentina to strengthen the squad.

Bologna: Bologna entered the 19th round Serie A match at Dall’Ara on January 7, 2026, against Atalanta with a depleted squad, missing goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski (serious thigh flexor injury), forward Federico Bernardeschi (broken collarbone), and defender Sasa Kolasinac (still sidelined), while coach Vincenzo Italiano maintained the 4-2-3-1 scheme with Ravaglia; Zortea, Vitik, Heggem, and Miranda; Freuler and Ferguson in midfield; Orsolini, Fabbian, and Cambiaghi supporting the sole forward Thijs Dallinga. The game ended in a 0-2 defeat, with Nikola Krstovic scoring both goals for Atalanta, worsening Bologna’s poor form – which has only earned two points in the last five matches and has not won at home since November 9, 2025 – leaving the club under pressure to turn around a season already affected by injuries and low offensive output.

Table analysis for the match between Como and Bologna

How: Como is in 6th place with 33 points, in the qualification zone for the Conference League. With a 3-point lead over the 5th place (Roma, which secures a spot in the Europa League) and some advantage over the teams just below, the match against Bologna is very important for Como to maintain or even improve its position and secure a spot in international competitions. Every point counts in the final stretch, and a victory against a direct rival can be decisive for the European dream. ⚽️🌟

Bologna: Bologna is in 8th place with 26 points, a bit far from the qualification zone for continental tournaments and in a safe position away from relegation. Despite that, the game against Como is important for Bologna to try to catch up with the group fighting for European spots, especially because they face a direct opponent. There is still room to get closer to the spots, so the match is relevant in the quest to improve the table, even if the team is not in as critical a situation as the rival.

Summary: This confrontation is important for both teams, especially for Como, which is fighting directly for a spot in European competitions, and for Bologna, which seeks to rise in the table and reach the same qualification zone. A game that can shake the mid-table positions of Serie A and impact the fight for international access. ⚔️🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Como x Bologna

When the best bet on Como x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460537 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Como?

🔵 Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $605.00;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔴 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $635.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$115.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Bologna

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Como and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Como.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Como.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.