Atalanta x Torino Betting tips for January 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Torino, Saturday, 10/1/2026

📅 10/1/2026 19:45

Atalanta 1.62

X 3.90

Torino 5.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atalanta x Torino:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $810.00!

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Important information for your tip for Atalanta x Torino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $356.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Torino, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atalanta has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Torino playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Atalanta vs Torino?

Lets analyze the match between Atalanta and Torino at Gewiss Stadium, home of Atalanta, which has been showing strong performance in recent games. In the last 5 home matches, Atalanta scored 9 goals and conceded only 3, with 4 wins and just one loss. Meanwhile, Torino away scored fewer goals (5) and conceded fewer (2), but has a more balanced record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and one loss in the last five away games.

📈 Atalanta is in a comfortable position to seek a spot among the top four in the league, demonstrating offensive consistency even with some key players injured or goalless. Torino is trying to strengthen during the transfer window to improve its defense and midfield but still shows tactical instability.

📰 News indicates that Atalanta has been winning important matches recently even without their striker Scamacca due to injury; coach Palladino highlights the teams continuity as a strength. Torino had a mixed start to the new year: a convincing victory against Verona followed by a loss to Udinese; squad adjustments are ongoing.

Analyzing the median odds offered by betting houses: Atalanta win (1.61), draw (3.9), Torino win (5.4). Converting these odds into implied probabilities gives approximately: Atalanta ~56%, draw ~16%, Torino ~28%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats, the home advantage at Gewiss Stadium — where they tend to dominate — plus recent positive news about their physical and moral form after good recent wins, I estimate the fair probability for Atalanta to win is even higher (~60%), with a lower draw (~15%) and a lower chance of Torino winning (~25%).

Compared to the Bets Kenya model, which predicts very low odds for the home win (1.46) indicating high probability (>68%) but very high odds for draw (5.11) and away win (8.27), there seems to be an overvaluation of the visiting team’s chances to lose or draw according to this model.

Calculating the expected value using the current market odds versus my adjusted probabilities shows a clear positive value in betting on Atalanta to win, with an estimated EV above 10%, confirming this as a recommended bet.

My recommendation: Bet on Atalanta to win, as they play at their usual stadium where they have been performing well offensively and defensively; they are in a good psychological state according to recent news; while Torino is still seeking tactical stability after recent squad changes.
The Bets Kenya model is correct in indicating value in this bet but underestimates the chances of a draw or even a surprise from the visitor — I believe these chances are higher but not enough to fully devalue the home advantage here.

⚽️🏠💪

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Analysis from Atalanta x Torino for the Italy Serie A – 10 of January

The latest news about Atalanta x Torino

Atalanta: Atalanta started the new year with back-to-back wins, beating Roma and securing a 2-0 victory over Bologna on January 7, 2026, thanks to a brace from Nikola Krstić, after forward Gianluca Scamacca was sidelined due to a right flexor muscle edema sustained in a tackle in the previous match against Roma; coach Raffaele Palladino praised the teams “continuity” and renewed their pursuit of a top-four spot, while Charles De Ketelaere has yet to score since September, a drought coinciding with a decline in Atalantas win rate, despite his historically high impact when scoring, and Davide Scalvinis recent goal against Roma was confirmed as legitimate by VAR.

Torino: Torino, managed by Baroni, began 2026 with a 3-0 victory over Verona thanks to goals from Simeone, Casadei, and Njie, but then lost 2-1 to Udinese, with Casadeis goal being the only one for Torino, while Zaniolo and Ekkelenkamp scored for the visitors; the starting lineup against Udinese included Paleari in goal, a defensive line of Ismajli, Maripan, and Coco, midfielders Ilkhan and Casadei flanked by Lazaro and Aboukhlal on the wings, with Vlasic, Njie, and Simeone completing the attack, while Torinos transfer window is focused on adding a central defender, a midfielder, and a winger, with recent squad adjustments leaving Pedersens status uncertain and Aboukhlal taking the position on the flank.

Table analysis for the game between Atalanta and Torino

Atalanta: Atalanta is in 7th place with 28 points, aiming to get closer to European competition spots, as the 6th place team, Como, has 33 points. The gap is still small, and with several rounds remaining, a good result here can greatly help the team dream of a Conference League spot or even more. Therefore, the game is important for them, as it could be a step towards continental competition next season. ⚽

Torino: Torino is in 12th place with 23 points, in a quite comfortable zone far from the top and also away from relegation danger. The chance to reach European competition spots is remote due to the points gap, and the team is not at immediate risk of relegation. Thus, the match has less relevance for Torino at this moment, mainly serving to maintain stability in the table and prepare for the rest of the season.

Summary: This duel is more important for Atalanta, which seeks to establish itself in the fight for a European spot, while for Torino, the game carries less weight, as the team is in an intermediate and relatively safe position in the table.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Torino

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atalanta x Torino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460859 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $446.40
• And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$166.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $522.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is betting on Torino worth it?

🔴 Torino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $430.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$470.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Torino

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Torino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Atalanta. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Torino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.