Cremonese x Inter Milan Betting tips for February 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cremonese x Inter Milan, Sunday, 1/2/2026

📅 1/2/2026 17:00

Cremonese 9.00

X 5.00

Inter Milan 1.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cremonese x Inter Milan:

🔮 Cremonese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $4500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cremonese x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
👉 Inter Milan did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Inter Milan matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Cremonese vs Inter Milan?

Lets analyze the match between Cremonese and Inter Milan at Stadio Giovanni Zini, which is Cremoneses usual stadium, with a capacity of about 16,500 fans, ensuring a home advantage for them.

📈 Table analysis: Inter is in 1st place in Serie A with 52 points from 22 matches, showing a dominant performance and leading in goals scored (50). Cremonese is in 14th position with only 23 points and a negative goal difference (-9), indicating a weaker team struggling to escape relegation. This shows that Inter has much more quality and motivation to maintain their lead, while Cremonese tries to resist.

📰 Team news: Cremonese is using a defensive setup (3-5-2) trying to hold the opponents, but has evident offensive difficulties in recent games. Inter lost Nicolò Barella to injury for this match but will have Lautaro Martínez and Bastoni available — key players maintaining their offensive power. Additionally, Inter is on a high after securing a spot in the Champions League playoffs.

Fair odds calculation:

• The implied probability of median odds are: home win = 1/9 ≈ 11.11%, draw = 1/5 = 20%, away win = 1/1.3 ≈ 76.92%. Total ~108% due to bookmaker margins.
• Normalized: home ≈10.28%, draw ≈18.51%, away ≈71.21%.
• Recent stats analysis: Cremoneses defense concedes many goals (almost 1 goal per game at home), while Inters attack is strong away (almost 2 goals in recent matches). This reinforces a high chance of the visitor winning.

Qualitative odds adjustment:

• Given Inters technical superiority even without Barella and considering their recent strong offensive performance against a vulnerable Cremonese defense, my fair estimate would be: Home win ~12%, Draw ~15%, Away win ~73%.
• This results in approximate fair odds: Home ~8.3; Draw ~6.7; Away ~1.37.

Expected value analysis (EV):

• Betting on Cremoneses win with final odds of 11 against an estimated fair odds of around 8.3 yields a positive EV (~32%).
• Betting on a draw or Inters win does not offer significant positive expected value given the low final odds compared to my fair estimates close to market offerings.

Final suggestion: Although the real chances are low for Cremoneses victory (~12%), high odds pay well if theres a surprise — making it an interesting value bet! The Bets Kenya model correctly indicates value in this option (~61% expected return), and I fully agree as it offers high potential return with low risk given the current team scenarios.
For those preferring greater security, a simple Inter win is an option even with low payout (here, theres no relevant positive expected value but its a safe bet).

Quick summary 🏟️⚽️:
The game will be at Cremoneses usual stadium, giving them some home advantage.
Inter dominates technically and tactically despite absences.
High odds for a home victory indicate a good speculative opportunity.
Bets Kenyas model correctly indicates value in this option! 🎯💰

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Analysis from Cremonese x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 1 of February

Latest news on Cremonese x Inter Milan

Cremonese: Cremoneses last Serie A match was against Sassuolo in the 22nd round, where Davide Nicola chose the 3-5-2 formation: goalkeeper Luca Audero, three defenders Terracciano, Baschirotto, and Bianchetti, midfielders Barbieri, Collocolo, Vandeputte, Grassi, and Pezzella, and the veteran forward duo Bonazzoli and Vardy; the lineup was confirmed on January 25, 2026. After the match, Audero was left behind by the team bus in Reggio Emilia, prompting the club to arrange alternative transportation to pick him up. In transfer news, Cremonese rejected an initial offer for former Juventus striker John Senna (Johnsen) on January 29, signaling ongoing negotiations. Additionally, midfielder Nicolò Barella from Inter will miss the next game against Cremonese due to a minor psoas strain, and the clubs Primavera team is scheduled to face the youth team of Inter on January 30.

Inter: Inter, under coach Cristian Chivu, is in ninth place in Serie A after a 1-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund that secured a spot in the Champions League playoffs, where they will face Benfica or Bodo Glimt before a potential match against Sporting CP or Manchester City in the round of 16; the team leads the league in goals scored (50), shots (404), and crosses (544), with Lautaro Martínez scoring 12 goals, Roméo Thuram six, and young forward Pio Esposito three. A psoas muscle strain sidelined Nicolò Barella for about two weeks, causing him to miss the Serie A match against Cremonese on January 30 and the next Coppa Italia game against Torino, although Chivu expects to have the player back for the match against Juventus in mid-February. Bastoni and Lautaro are expected to return for that game, Dimarcos availability is uncertain, and Inter is apparently seeking to sign right winger Moussa Diaby, remaining the favorite for the upcoming derby against Milan.

Table analysis for the match between Cremonese and Inter Milan

Cremonese: Cremonese is in 14th place with 23 points, close to the relegation zone but still comfortably avoiding direct relegation at this stage of the season. With a few rounds remaining, this game against the leader is important to try to gather crucial points and secure Serie A survival. Every point is valuable to escape relegation pressure, making this match quite significant for them. ⚔️

Inter Milan: Inter Milan leads Serie A with 52 points and has a good advantage at the top of the table. The victory is important to maintain the lead and continue fighting for the title, especially against an opponent fighting to avoid relegation. Despite the table difference, the match cannot be taken lightly by Inter, as these are crucial points to win the championship. 🏆

Summary: This match is important for both teams, but for different reasons: Cremonese fights to move away from relegation zone, and Inter Milan seeks to consolidate its leadership towards the title. Therefore, the game is highly relevant for both sides.

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Cremonese x Inter Milan

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Cremonese x Inter Milan.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cremonese x Inter Milan

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cremonese x Inter Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1471847 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Cremonese?

🔵 Cremonese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $1360.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$530.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$500.00.

Is betting on Inter Milan worth it?

🔴 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $219.00
• And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$51.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x Inter Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Cremonese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Cremonese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Cremonese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Cremonese x Inter Milan