Parma x Juventus Betting tips for February 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Juventus, Sunday, 1/2/2026

📅 1/2/2026 19:45

Parma 6.55

X 4.05

Juventus 1.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Parma x Juventus:

🔮 Parma wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Parma x Juventus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 In the last 5 Parma matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Parma vs Juventus?

Lets analyze the match between Parma and Juventus at the Ennio Tardini stadium, one of Italys oldest stadiums, where Parma plays on their usual field, which could give them some advantage.

📈 Table and morale analysis: Parma is in a tough phase in Serie A, close to relegation zone and has not scored in three consecutive games. Juventus, on the other hand, is in a more solid moment, with good recent results away from home and focus on reinforcements to stay competitive. This clearly indicates Parmas need for points to escape relegation, while Juventus aims to maintain its comfortable position in the table.

📰 News: Parma recently suffered a heavy defeat (4-0 against Atalanta) and has evident offensive difficulties. Conversely, Juventus is focused on renewing important contracts like that of striker Kenan Yildiz and strengthening its squad with strategic signings. On the field, despite a recent draw in the Champions League that left reserves dissatisfied, the main team shows consistent offensive strength.

Analyzing the statistics: Parma has a low average of goals scored (0 per game at home) and concedes many goals (1 goal conceded per game). Also, they shoot accurately at the opponents goal infrequently (2 accurate shots against 5 conceded). Juventus, however, shows much higher numbers: an average of 1 goal scored away with only 0 conceded; accurate shots are more than double those of the opponent (5 vs 2), and they have high possession (59%).

Based on median odds, the approximate normalized implied probabilities are: Parma win ~14%, draw ~25%, Juventus win ~61%. Considering Parmas weak defensive stats combined with Juventuss strong offensive away form and recent good performance, these probabilities make sense.

However, our internal model predicts a higher probability for the home team win (~16%) compared to the implied odds (~14%), but significantly underestimates the draw (~11% vs 25%) and slightly overestimates Juventuss chance to win (~72% vs 61%). This suggests our model sees little chance for a draw due to the technical disparity between the teams.

Therefore, I calculated adjusted fair odds considering the current tactical context: Juventus victory near @1.45 is fair; draw @4.3 seems overestimated by the bookmakers given the recent poor performance of both teams; Parma victory @7+ is risky but may have value if seeking high returns due to the low realistic probability (<15%).

Suggested bet: The best bet based on expected value is betting on the visiting team – Juventus – as it shows a positive EV close to or above 5%. Betting on the home team or a draw does not present enough expected value for a safe recommendation at this time.

Conclusion: I agree with the strong tip favoring Juventuss victory from Bets Kenya! Despite the low odds reflecting their clear favoritism in recent stats and current news about the teams.
Betting on Juve offers security combined with good expected returns given the current scenario.
Good luck! ⚽💰

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Juventus?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Juventus, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Parma x Juventus for the Italy Serie A – 1 of February

Latest news on Parma x Juventus

Parma: Parma continued its poor form in Serie A, suffering a 4-0 defeat to Atalanta on January 25, 2026, and failing to score for the third consecutive game, keeping the club close to the relegation zone; coach Diego Cuesta set up a 3-5-2 with Corvi in goal, a three-man defense consisting of Circati, Valenti, and Troilo, midfielders Delprato, Bernabè, Estevez, Keita, and Britschgi, and forwards Sorensen and Benedyczak leading the attack.

Juventus: Juventus is experiencing a busy period on and off the pitch: coach Luciano Spalletti is in talks to secure a double contract renewal with star striker Kenan Yildiz, who praised the coach and awaits the right offer, while the clubs transfer agenda focuses on strengthening the right side with a free transfer of Zeki Celik from Roma, keeping Argentine defender Marcos Senesi and midfielder Xaver Schlager as potential free signings; the search for French forward Randal Kolo Muani continues with negotiations involving PSG and Tottenham, although a loan remains uncertain, and after the failed deal with En-Nesyri, Juventus shifted its focus to alternatives like Beto and Joshua Zirkzee; on the field, the team drew 0-0 with Monaco in the Champions League, a performance that left the reserve players dissatisfied, while a recent Serie A match against Napoli saw Yildiz celebrated as a hero by fans, highlighting his importance to the squad.

Italy Serie A table analysis for Parma x Juventus

Parma: Parma is in 15th place with 23 points, very close to the relegation zone, as the gap to 18th place (relegation zone) is only 6 points, and the team has not been in a good streak, with more losses than wins. This match is very important for Parma because a victory could help them move away from the relegation zone and secure their place in Serie A. The team needs to earn points to avoid surprises at the end of the season.

Juventus: Juventus is in 5th place with 42 points, in the UEFA Europa League qualification zone. They are close to the fourth-placed Napoli, which has 43 points, and can still try for a Champions League spot. Therefore, this game is also important for Juventus because a win could keep them or bring them closer to the top group, increasing their chances of competing in more prestigious international tournaments.

Summary: The match is important for both teams: for Parma, it’s crucial to escape the relegation zone and secure their place in Italy’s top league; for Juventus, it’s a valuable opportunity to get closer to the Champions League qualifying group. A match with a lot at stake for everyone! ⚽🔥

Odds and handicap movements for Parma x Juventus

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Parma x Juventus.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Juventus

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Parma x Juventus right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1471847 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Parma?

🔵 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $1110.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$310.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $366.00
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$514.00.

Should you bet on Juventus?

🔴 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 690 times – profiting $317.40;
• And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$7.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Juventus

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Juventus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Parma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Juventus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Juventus

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Parma x Juventus