Lecce x Udinese Betting tips for February 8 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Udinese, Sunday, 8/2/2026

📅 8/2/2026 14:00

Lecce 3.00

X 2.86

Udinese 2.57

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lecce x Udinese:

🔮 Lecce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $1500.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lecce x Udinese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Lecce x Udinese, with Lecce as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Lecce vs Udinese:

Lets analyze the match between Lecce and Udinese that will take place at Via del Mare stadium, home of Lecce. Based on recent statistics, Lecce has shown offensive difficulties at home, scoring only 2 goals in their last 5 games at their stadium and conceding 7 goals. Additionally, their ball possession average is low (44%), indicating a tendency to play more defensively. On the other hand, Udinese performs better away from home with an average of 1 goal per game and a relatively vulnerable defense (2 goals conceded per game). Udinese also has more accurate shots (3 vs 2 for Lecce) even when playing away.

The median odds indicate a slight advantage for Udinese to win (2.55), followed by a draw (2.88), and Lecce to win (3). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities gives approximately: Lecce win ~33%, draw ~35%, Udinese win ~39%. Considering Lecces weak defensive stats at home and Udineses better form away, my adjusted estimate would be close to: Lecce win ~30%, draw ~30%, Udinese win ~40%.

Calculating the fair odds based on this analysis yields values close to: Lecce victory around 3.33; draw around 3.33; Udinese victory around 2.5.

The expected value of bets with the final odds indicates that no bet has a positive expected value above +5%, making it a safe bet according to our calculation.

📰 News: Lecce has been undergoing squad restructuring and is listed as one of the teams at higher risk of relegation, which could negatively affect their morale in this important home match. Udinese, however, arrives motivated after recent wins against strong teams like Roma and aims to stay in the European qualification race — this boosts the visiting teams confidence to seek the three points even away from home.

📈 Positional Analysis: The league position reinforces Udineses greater need for victory to qualify for European competitions, while Lecce fights relegation but has not shown enough offensive strength to secure this recently at home.

Final analysis: The Bets Kenya model suggests higher predicted odds for a draw (~3.15) compared to my view, which sees a lower chance of this result due to the teams moderate offensive profiles seeking decisive points — I partially agree with the slight advantage given to the visitors but disagree that a draw is so likely.
My suggestion is to avoid betting on the game or consider a cautious bet on Udineses victory given their superior form, but without high expectations since the EV calculated does not exceed +5%. ⚠️

Always bet responsibly! 🍀

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lecce x Udinese?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lecce x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 8 of February

The latest news about Lecce x Udinese

Lecce: The latest headline for Lecce is their 1-0 defeat in Serie A against Torino, where the Salento team played in a 4-2-3-1 formation (Falcone; Veiga, Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo; Ramadani, Coulibaly; Pierotti, Gandelman, Sottil; Cheddira) under coach Francesco Di Francesco, with striker Cheddira starting as a starter. Off the field, the club is actively restructuring its squad: they have entered advanced negotiations to bring Zito Luvumbo from Cagliari — subject to the sale of midfielder José Antonio Morente, whose contract was mutually terminated — and are also monitoring the availability of defender Zanon, while betting markets list Lecce among the teams with the highest risk of relegation, with odds around 1.47.

Udinese: Udinese started 2026 in good form, having secured a 1-0 home victory over Roma on February 2 thanks to a decisive goal from Ekkelenkamp, while the newly arrived Okoye kept the result secure and the team celebrated Zaniolos return after a knee injury; however, striker Keinan Davis suffered a left adductor strain in the same match, which led to an interview on February 4 where he expressed his dream of helping Udinese reach European competition, despite the setback, and the team’s recent performances in Serie A — including a tough draw against Inter on January 17 — kept the team fighting for a top-six spot and a place in the Europa League.

Italy Serie A table analysis for Lecce x Udinese

Lecce: Lecce is in 17th place with 18 points, very close to the relegation zone (risk group starts at 18th place with 17 points). With the season already advanced, this game is a real battle for survival in Serie A. Every point gained is crucial for Lecce to escape relegation, so the importance of the match is extremely high for the team, which desperately needs good results to move away from the drop zone. ⚽🔥

Udinese: Udinese is in 9th place with 32 points, in an intermediate position on the table. They are relatively safe from relegation, with a good margin of points over Lecce. However, the team is not close to international competition spots, so the match has moderate importance, possibly an opportunity to climb a bit in the standings and finish the season in a better position. Still, the pressure is lower compared to Lecce.

Summary: This matchup is extremely important for Lecce, fighting to avoid relegation, while for Udinese, the game has moderate importance, with no immediate risks but potential to improve their position on the table.

Odds and handicap movements for Lecce x Udinese

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Lecce x Udinese.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lecce x Udinese

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecce and Udinese.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1475875 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Lecce worth it?

🔵 Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $576.60
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$113.40.

Is betting on Udinese worth it?

🔴 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $549.50;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Udinese

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Udinese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lecce, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lecce.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Lecce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Udinese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Lecce x Udinese