Cagliari x Lecce Betting tips for February 16 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Lecce, Monday, 16/2/2026

📅 16/2/2026 19:45

Cagliari 2.05

X 3.07

Lecce 4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x Lecce:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1535.00!

🔮 Lecce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $2000.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Cagliari x Lecce:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $910.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Lecce did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 Lecce matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lecce conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cagliari has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Lecce playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Lecce as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cagliari x Lecce?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cagliari x Lecce, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cagliari x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 16 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Cagliari x Lecce

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Cagliari x Lecce.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cagliari x Lecce

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cagliari and Lecce.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1479379 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Cagliari?

🔵 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $294.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$426.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $724.50;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$74.50.

Is it worth betting on Lecce?

🔴 Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $1110.00
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$480.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Lecce

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cagliari and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cagliari.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lecce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Cagliari x Lecce