Cagliari x Lazio Betting tips for February 21 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Lazio, Saturday, 21/2/2026

📅 21/2/2026 19:45

Cagliari 3.10

X 3.14

Lazio 2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cagliari x Lazio:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cagliari x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cagliari x Lazio, with Cagliari as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Cagliari did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 Playing as the home team, Cagliari conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lazio.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Lazio has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Lazio won the last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari´s territory

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Analysis from Cagliari x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 21 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Cagliari x Lazio

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Cagliari x Lazio.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Lazio

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cagliari and Lazio.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482962 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔵 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $513.60;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$246.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Lazio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Cagliari.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lazio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Cagliari x Lazio