Famalicao x Casa Pia Betting tips for February 23 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Famalicao x Casa Pia, Monday, 23/2/2026

📅 23/2/2026 20:15

Famalicao 1.60

X 3.80

Casa Pia 5.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Famalicao x Casa Pia:

🔮 Casa Pia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casa Pia, you can win up to $2625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Famalicao x Casa Pia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-31.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Casa Pia, Famalicao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Famalicao matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Famalicao is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Famalicao x Casa Pia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Famalicao x Casa Pia for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 23 of February

How the handicap and odds moved for Famalicao x Casa Pia

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Famalicao x Casa Pia.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Famalicao x Casa Pia

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Famalicao and Casa Pia.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1483644 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Famalicao?

🔵 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $784.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$64.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?

🔴 Casa Pia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $1020.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao x Casa Pia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Famalicao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao x Casa Pia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Famalicao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Famalicao.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Casa Pia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao x Casa Pia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Famalicao x Casa Pia