Bologna x Udinese Betting tips for February 23 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Udinese, Monday, 23/2/2026

📅 23/2/2026 19:45

Bologna 1.90

X 3.32

Udinese 3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bologna x Udinese:

🔮 Udinese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Udinese, you can win up to $1950.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Bologna x Udinese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Udinese, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Udinese matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bologna has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Udinese playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Bologna vs Udinese?

Lets analyze the match between Bologna and Udinese at the Renato DallAra stadium, which is Bolognas usual home ground, giving them the home advantage. Bologna has shown weak performance at home in recent matches, with 0 wins and 4 losses in the last 5 home games, scoring an average of only 1 goal per game and conceding about 2 goals on average. On the other hand, Udinese away has performed relatively better with 2 wins and 3 losses in recent away games, also averaging 1 goal per game but conceding roughly 2 goals.

The implied probabilities of the median odds are: Bologna win (1/1.91 = ~52.36%), draw (1/3.3 = ~30.30%), and Udinese win (1/3.88 = ~25.77%). Normalizing to a total of 100%, we get approximately: Bologna win ~44%, draw ~26%, Udinese win ~30%. This indicates that the betting houses give a slight favoritism to the home team.

However, analyzing recent team statistics — especially Bolognas low performance as a home team — my adjusted estimate for fair probabilities would be close to: Bologna victory (~38%), draw (~28%), and Udinese victory (~34%). The slight edge for Udinese is due to their recent higher offensive efficiency even when playing away.

Converting these fair probabilities into fair odds, we have:

• Bologna: about @2.63
• Draw: about @3.57
• Udinese: about @2.94

Looking at the final odds offered by the bookmakers (Bologna @1.85; Draw @3.5; Udinese @4.5), it’s clear there’s value in betting on Udinese’s victory because the final odds are much higher than the fair odds (@4.5 vs @2.94). The expected value for this bet is positive (+24%), indicating a good opportunity.

📰 News:
Bologna recently changed their tactical setup to a more compact one aiming for greater defensive solidity after poor results; this could help against a team like Udinese, which is seeking recovery after a recent defeat.
Udinese is under pressure to urgently earn points after a poor run at home, and may seek an aggressive result even away.

📈 Positional Analysis:
Bologna is mid-table (10th place), with no extreme pressure but seeking stability;
Udinese fights to escape the relegation zone or dangerous areas,
thus the visitors are more motivated to seek the three points here.

Final analysis:
Betting on the away victory seems to be the best deal here! Despite the initial favoritism to the home team by the odds, recent data show Bologna’s defensive fragility combined with Udinese’s high motivation.
The final odds offered by the house provide excellent expected value (+24%), while bets on a draw or home win do not show significant positive value.
I recommend following this clear reading and betting on UDINESE victory. Good luck! 🍀⚽️

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Udinese?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Udinese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bologna x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 23 of February

Latest news about Bologna x Udinese

Bologna: Bologna, led by Vincenzo Italiano, recently switched from the 4-2-3-1 system to a more compact 4-3-3 formation, which reduces pressing intensity and tightens defensive lines, giving a more protective role to the central defenders and allowing greater flexibility for forward Jens Odgaard, who has been used as a winger, inside forward, and occasional center forward; this tactical change coincided with the away victory of 1-0 over Brann in the first leg of the Europa League playoffs, secured by the European debut goal of Argentine forward Gabriel Castro, assisted by Cambiaghi, while the teams official lineup included Skorupski in goal, Zortea, Vitik, Lucumí, and Miranda in defense, a midfield trio of Pobega, Ferguson, and Odgaard, and an attack formed by Orsolini, Dallinga, and Cambiaghi. Italiano expressed optimism after seeing his players calmer but emphasizes the need for concrete performances, as Bologna, currently 10th in Serie A, aims to advance to the knockout stages.

Udinese: Udinese faces their next Serie A match against Sassuolo after a 2-1 defeat to Lecce, in a streak where they have won only two of their last seven home games; the probable lineup is a 3-5-1-1, with Okoye in goal, a defensive line of Bertola, Kristensen, and Solet, a midfield trio of Ehizibue, Ekkelenkamp, and Karlstrom, with Atta and Zemura on the wings, and Zaniolo positioned behind the center forward Buksa.

Table analysis for the match between Bologna and Udinese

Bologna: Bologna is in 9th place with 33 points, in an intermediate position on the table. With a 9-point gap to 6th place, which grants a spot in the Conference League, and considering that the championship is in an advanced round (but without the total number of rounds explicitly stated, it is presumed that there is still considerable competition), this game is important for Bologna to try to get closer to the European competition qualification zone. Therefore, the team is motivated to seek victory and improve its position.

Udinese: Udinese appears in 11th place with 32 points, very close to Bologna (33 points), but a bit farther from the international competition qualification zone. They are not directly threatened by relegation nor close to European spots. Thus, the match has moderate importance for Udinese, which can use the game to distance itself from the danger zone or try to climb the table, but it is not decisive for spots or relegation.

Summary: The game is more important for Bologna, which seeks to improve its position to try to return to the fight for European spots, while for Udinese, the match has less direct impact and can be seen as an opportunity to maintain stability on the table.

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Bologna x Udinese

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Bologna x Udinese (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Udinese

When the best bet on Bologna x Udinese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1484672 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Bologna worth it?

🔵 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $556.80;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$203.20.

Is it worth betting on Udinese?

🔴 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $812.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Udinese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Udinese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Udinese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Udinese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Bologna x Udinese