Mainz x SC Freiburg Betting tips for March 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x SC Freiburg, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 14:30

Mainz 1.95

X 3.40

SC Freiburg 3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mainz x SC Freiburg:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Mainz x SC Freiburg

Important information for your tip for Mainz x SC Freiburg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $755.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0. 👉 Mainz did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 SC Freiburg did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 Mainz matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 SC Freiburg matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Mainz x SC Freiburg, with Mainz as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, SC Freiburg has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mainz x SC Freiburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x SC Freiburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mainz x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of March

When the best bet on Mainz x SC Freiburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mainz x SC Freiburg

Is it worth betting on Mainz?

🔵 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $503.50;
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$33.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.00.

Should you bet on SC Freiburg?

🔴 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $522.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$298.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x SC Freiburg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mainz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.