Borussia Dortmund x PSG Betting tips for May 1 in UEFA Champions League
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1/5/2024 19:00 |
 Borussia Dortmund2.76 |
X 3.63 |
PSG  2.35 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Borussia Dortmund x PSG:
๐ฎ PSG wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $1175.00!
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The main points for the tip for Borussia Dortmund x PSG: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $95.0. |
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Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x PSG for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of May
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๐๏ธ Borussia Dortmund X PSG – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Borussia Dortmund x PSG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1109949 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x PSG
Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?
๐ต Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$172.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $499.70;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$310.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?
๐ด PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $675.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$175.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x PSG
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Borussia Dortmund
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x PSG
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Borussia Dortmund, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Borussia Dortmund.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 PSG.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x PSG
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
