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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Bayern Munich x Real Madrid Betting tips for April 30 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 30 April 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
PREDICTION Real Madrid Wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayern Munich x Real Madrid Betting tips for April 30 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Bayern Munich x Real Madrid, Tuesday, 30/4/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/4/2024
19:00
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
2.39
X
3.60
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bayern Munich x Real Madrid:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Real Madrid wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $1350.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x Real Madrid:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $146.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $129.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Real Madrid, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Real Madrid matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich x Real Madrid, with Bayern Munich as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Bayern Munich conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Real Madrid.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bayern Munich is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Real Madrid has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bayern Munich x Real Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bayern Munich x Real Madrid:

Analysis from Bayern Munich x Real Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 30 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bayern Munich X Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 30 of April, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 44.21% | Fair line: 2.26
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.18% | Fair line: 4.96
๐Ÿ”ด Real Madrid – Winning probability: 35.61% | Fair line: 2.81
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bayern Munich
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bayern Munich x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1109485 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Real Madrid

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?

๐Ÿ”ต Bayern Munich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $611.60;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$51.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Madrid?

๐Ÿ”ด Real Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$28.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x Real Madrid

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bayern Munich
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Real Madrid

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bayern Munich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bayern Munich.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x Real Madrid

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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