Manchester City x Real Madrid Betting tips for April 17 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Real Madrid, Wednesday, 17/4/2024

📅 17/4/2024 19:00

Manchester City 1.65

X 4.00

Real Madrid 4.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Real Madrid:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $825.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Real Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-29.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $44.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Real Madrid, Manchester City scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Manchester City x Real Madrid, with Manchester City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Manchester City is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 9 home matches, it had at least 66.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Real Madrid has not lost any of them. 👉 Manchester City has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Real Madrid playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Manchester City x Real Madrid?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Manchester City x Real Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 17 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manchester City and Real Madrid.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1099689 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Real Madrid

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – profiting $539.50;
• And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$369.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $330.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Is betting on Real Madrid worth it?

🔴 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $219.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$721.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Real Madrid

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Real Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Manchester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Manchester City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Manchester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Real Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.