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Home ยป Predictions ยป Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Europa League
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
PREDICTION Athletic Bilbao wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Slavia Prague Slavia Prague
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague Betting tips for October 24 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague, Thursday, 24/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/10/2024
19:00
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
1.83
X
3.70
Slavia Prague Slavia Prague
4.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Athletic Bilbao wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-23.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Slavia Prague in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $111.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Slavia Prague scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Slavia Prague is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague for the UEFA Europa League – 24 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Athletic Bilbao X Slavia Prague – UEFA Europa League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Athletic Bilbao – Winning probability: 73.69% | Fair line: 1.36
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.41% | Fair line: 7.46
๐Ÿ”ด Slavia Prague – Winning probability: 12.90% | Fair line: 7.75
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Athletic Bilbao
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Athletic Bilbao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $614.20;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$354.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $351.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$519.00.

Is it worth betting on Slavia Prague?

๐Ÿ”ด Slavia Prague: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $403.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$467.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Athletic Bilbao
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Athletic Bilbao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Slavia Prague

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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