Galatasaray x Elfsborg Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Galatasaray x Elfsborg, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 14:30

Galatasaray 1.25

X 6.00

Elfsborg 10.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Galatasaray x Elfsborg:

🔮 Galatasaray wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Galatasaray, you can win up to $625.00!

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Important information for your tip for Galatasaray x Elfsborg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Galatasaray in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $51.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Elfsborg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-185.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Galatasaray scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Elfsborg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Elfsborg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Elfsborg conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Galatasaray x Elfsborg for the UEFA Europa League – 23 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Galatasaray and Elfsborg.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Galatasaray x Elfsborg

Is it worth betting on Galatasaray?

🔵 Galatasaray: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $235.00
• And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $150.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$820.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Elfsborg?

🔴 Elfsborg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $198.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$782.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Galatasaray x Elfsborg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Galatasaray
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Galatasaray x Elfsborg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Galatasaray and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Galatasaray.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Galatasaray x Elfsborg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.