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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Lens x Rennes Betting tips for March 15 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 20h05 France Ligue 1
Lens Lens
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Rennes Rennes
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Lens x Rennes Betting tips for March 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Rennes, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
20:05
Lens Lens
2.00
X
3.50
Rennes Rennes
3.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lens x Rennes:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lens x Rennes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rennes scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Rennes, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lens has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Rennes playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lens x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of March

🏟️ Lens X Rennes – France Ligue 1
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 20:05
🔵 Lens – Winning probability: 42.23% | Fair line: 2.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.65% | Fair line: 3.06
🔴 Rennes – Winning probability: 25.11% | Fair line: 3.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lens x Rennes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x Rennes

Is it a good idea to bet on Lens?

🔵 Lens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $825.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

Is betting on Rennes worth it?

🔴 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Rennes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Rennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Rennes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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