Lyon x Monaco Betting tips for April 28 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lyon x Monaco, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 17:00

Lyon 2.51

X 3.56

Monaco 2.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lyon x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $1230.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lyon x Monaco: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $744.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Monaco has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lyon x Monaco?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lyon x Monaco, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lyon x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 28 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lyon x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1106360 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lyon x Monaco

Is betting on Lyon worth it?

🔵 Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $437.90;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$272.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$110.00.

Is it worth betting on Monaco?

🔴 Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $671.60
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x Monaco

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Lyon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lyon.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.