Marseille x Lens Betting tips for April 28 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Lens, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 19:00

Marseille 2.25

X 3.40

Lens 3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Marseille x Lens:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Marseille x Lens: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lens matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lens. 👉 Even as a visitor, Lens won the last 3 head-to-head matches Marseille´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Marseille x Lens?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Marseille x Lens:

Analysis from Marseille x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 28 of April

When the best bet on Marseille x Lens is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1106965 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marseille x Lens

Is it a good idea to bet on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $562.50;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$12.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on Lens?

🔴 Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $473.00
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Lens

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Lens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Marseille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Marseille. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Lens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.