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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » AC Milan x Roma Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 29 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Roma Roma
ODD: @3.68 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Milan x Roma Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Roma, Sunday, 29/12/2024
📅 29/12/2024
19:45
AC Milan AC Milan
1.82
X
3.68
Roma Roma
4.08

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Milan x Roma:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for AC Milan x Roma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Roma.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AC Milan x Roma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan x Roma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AC Milan x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 29 of December

🏟️ AC Milan X Roma – Italy Serie A
📅 29 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 AC Milan – Winning probability: 42.29% | Fair line: 2.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.20% | Fair line: 3.21
🔴 Roma – Winning probability: 26.51% | Fair line: 3.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on AC Milan x Roma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240337 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Milan x Roma

Should you bet on AC Milan?

🔵 AC Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $344.40
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$235.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $830.80;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.80.

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔴 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $831.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Roma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 AC Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 AC Milan.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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