Atalanta x AC Milan Betting tips for December 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x AC Milan, Friday, 6/12/2024

📅 6/12/2024 19:45

Atalanta 2.03

X 3.60

AC Milan 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atalanta x AC Milan:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $1015.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Atalanta x AC Milan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $432.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atalanta scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AC Milan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against AC Milan, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 AC Milan matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Atalanta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against AC Milan. 👉 Atalanta is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, AC Milan has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atalanta x AC Milan?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atalanta x AC Milan:

Analysis from Atalanta x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 6 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atalanta and AC Milan.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233006 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atalanta x AC Milan

Should you bet on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $607.70
• And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$197.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on AC Milan?

🔴 AC Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $408.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$422.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x AC Milan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x AC Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atalanta.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x AC Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.