Atalanta x Bologna Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Bologna, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 10:30

Atalanta 1.82

X 3.60

Bologna 4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atalanta x Bologna:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atalanta x Bologna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $13.0. 👉 Atalanta did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atalanta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Atalanta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bologna. 👉 Bologna is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 Bologna is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Bologna won the last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atalanta x Bologna?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atalanta x Bologna, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atalanta x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atalanta x Bologna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Bologna

Is it worth betting on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $410.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$90.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $806.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔴 Bologna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $608.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Bologna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Atalanta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.