Atalanta x Empoli Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A
📅 22/12/2024 17:00 |
Atalanta 1.28 |
X 5.50 |
Empoli 10.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atalanta x Empoli:
🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $640.00!
Important information for your tip for Atalanta x Empoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $111.0. |
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Analysis from Atalanta x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 22 of December
🏟️ Atalanta X Empoli – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Atalanta x Empoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238880 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atalanta x Empoli
Is it worth betting on Atalanta?
🔵 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $238.00;
- And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$88.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.
Is it worth betting on Empoli?
🔴 Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $450.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$500.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Empoli
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Empoli
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Atalanta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Atalanta.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Atalanta.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Empoli
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.