Atalanta x Genoa Betting tips for October 5 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 5/10/2024 13:00 |
 Atalanta1.50 |
X 4.28 |
Genoa  6.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atalanta x Genoa:
🔮 Genoa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genoa, you can win up to $3000.00!
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Important information for your tip for Atalanta x Genoa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-47.0. |
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Analysis from Atalanta x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 5 of October
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🏟️ Atalanta X Genoa – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atalanta x Genoa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Genoa
Is it a good idea to bet on Atalanta?
🔵 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $315.00;
- And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $656.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$144.00.
Should you bet on Genoa?
🔴 Genoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $850.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$20.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Genoa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Genoa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atalanta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Atalanta.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Genoa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Genoa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
