Atalanta x Lazio Betting tips for April 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Lazio, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 16:00

Atalanta 1.74

X 3.80

Lazio 4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atalanta x Lazio:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $870.00!

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Important information for your tip for Atalanta x Lazio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0. 👉 In the last 3 Lazio matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lazio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Atalanta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lazio.

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Analysis from Atalanta x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 6 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atalanta x Lazio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296560 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atalanta x Lazio

Should you bet on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $569.80
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$339.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $420.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $272.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$648.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Lazio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Atalanta.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.