Bologna x Atalanta Betting tips for January 7 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Atalanta, Wednesday, 7/1/2026

📅 7/1/2026 17:30

Bologna 2.65

X 3.35

Atalanta 2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bologna x Atalanta:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $1325.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Bologna x Atalanta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-352.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atalanta, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Bologna vs Atalanta:

Lets analyze the match between Bologna and Atalanta at the Renato DallAra stadium, Bolognas traditional home, which will surely have the support of the local fans. 📊

Bologna has been going through a tough phase, with only 2 wins in the last 10 games and some key absences like goalkeeper Skorupski and forward Bernardeschi. Despite that, players like Cambiaghi and Immobile are returning to strengthen the attack. At home, they average 1 goal per game and have a higher ball possession (57%), but also concede about 1 goal per match.

Atalanta arrives motivated after a narrow victory against Roma away. The visiting team has a solid away record (3 wins in 5 recent games), scoring about 1 goal per game with good ball possession (58%). The team is known for its constant offensive pressure.

Calculating fair probabilities based on median odds adjusted for house margins: we have approximately Bologna win: 36%, draw: 28%, Atalanta win: 36%. This indicates a close balance between the two teams.

However, considering the balanced offensive stats and the slight advantage of Bologna playing at their traditional Renato DallAra — where they tend to have more shots (18 vs. 14) — I see a small edge for the home team.

Expected value: Final odds indicate a positive value on betting for Bolognas victory (+23.6% according to the model), while draw (-27%) and Atalanta win (-14%) do not show interesting expected value for safe bets.

📰
News shows that despite Bolognas recent difficulties, key reinforcements are returning to the starting lineup, which could make a difference in attack. Atalanta, confident after beating a strong opponent like Roma, still faces challenges away against a motivated home team.

📈
In the league table, both teams are close in the race for mid-to-high Serie A positions — this increases the need for points for both to maintain or improve their standings, promising a competitive match until the end.

Final analysis: I agree with the Bets Kenya model in indicating value in betting on Bolognas victory in this balanced but slightly favoring home team match due to their strength playing at Renato DallAra and the return of key offensive players.
My suggestion is to bet on Bolognas win, as it shows good expected value (+23.6%) against current odds.
Good luck! ⚽🔥

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bologna x Atalanta?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bologna x Atalanta:

Analysis from Bologna x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 7 of January

Latest news on Bologna x Atalanta

Bologna: Bologna entered the match at San Siro against Inter on January 4, 2026, after a poor run that left the team with only two wins in the last ten games, suffering a 3-1 defeat with goals from Piotr Zielinski, Lautaro Martínez, and Thimothée Thuram for Inter. Vincenzo Italiano set up a 4-2-3-1 with Francesco Ravaglia in goal, a defensive line consisting of Holm, Heggem, Lucumí, and Lykogiannis, midfielders Ferguson and Moro, and an attack led by Castro supported by Cambiaghi, Odgaard, and Rowe. The injury list still included goalkeeper Skorupski (expected to return in 7-10 days) and forward Bernardeschi (fracture), although Nicolo Cambiaghi recovered from a flu-like illness, Heggem returned after suspension, and forward Ciro Immobile was deemed fit to rejoin the team, with a competition for the center-forward spot between Castro and Dallinga increasing before upcoming matches.

Atalanta: Atalanta secured a 1-0 victory over Roma on January 3, 2026, at the New Balance Arena, with the winning goal scored by Lorenzo Scalvini; the match also involved a controversial VAR decision that disallowed a previous goal by Andrea Scamacca, leading coach Gian Piero Gasperini to criticize the refereeing as “a theater” and to accuse Roma goalkeeper Lorenzo Svilar of handball. Atalantas coach, Stefano Palladino, celebrated the victory as a perfect and decisive performance, setting up a 3-4-2-1 with Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolasinac; Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bernasconi; De Ketelaere, Zalewski; Scamacca.

Table analysis for the match between Bologna x Atalanta

Bologna: Bologna is in 7th place with 26 points, close to the qualification zone for international competitions, which starts from 6th position (Como with 30 points). As the season progresses, this game is important for Bologna to try to catch up with the teams that secure spots in European tournaments and, who knows, surpass them. A victory could give a significant boost in the fight for a place in the Conference League, considering the gap to Como is only 4 points.

Atalanta: Atalanta is right behind, in 8th place with 25 points, and also has a direct interest in this match to get closer to the positions that grant spots in continental competitions. The difference to 6th place is 5 points, so a win is valuable to keep hopes alive and pressure opponents. Being close in the standings and in the race, this game is also very important for Atalanta.

Summary: This match is very important for both teams, as it can determine who will continue fighting for a spot in European competitions next season. A win is a crucial step to maintain or take the lead in this direct contest. ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Atalanta

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bologna and Atalanta.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460156 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $660.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$60.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $540.50;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$229.50.

Should you bet on Atalanta?

🔴 Atalanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $570.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Atalanta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Atalanta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Atalanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.