Bologna x Lazio Betting tips for March 22 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Lazio, Sunday, 22/3/2026

📅 22/3/2026 14:00

Bologna 2.19

X 3.05

Lazio 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bologna x Lazio:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Bologna x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lazio, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lazio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Bologna has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lazio playing at home.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Bologna vs Lazio:

Lets analyze the match between Bologna and Lazio at Renato DallAra Stadium, which promises to be balanced but with important nuances for betting! ⚽️

📊 Recent statistics show that Bologna has a decent home performance, scoring an average of 1 goal per game and conceding the same. They have good ball possession (56%) and create more chances (14 shots per game) than they concede. Lazio away from home shows more modest numbers: an average of 1 goal scored and conceded, lower offensive volume (9 shots) and less possession (52%). This suggests a slight advantage for Bologna in controlling the game.

📰 News indicate serious problems for both teams: Bolognas starting goalkeeper is injured, as are several key Lazio players who are out due to injury or long-term suspension. This could impact the defensive quality of both teams, especially Lazio which lost its season’s starting goalkeeper.

📈 In the league table, although we dont have exact data here, we know both teams need points to improve their positions or avoid relegation. This need should increase the intensity of the match.

Analyzing the median odds adjusted for the house margin:

• Fair probability Bologna win: ~43%
• Draw: ~31%
• Lazio win: ~26%

The Bets Kenya model predicts a home team advantage with lower predicted odds for Lazio (~2.65), but this contrasts with recent offensive/defensive stats and Bolognas strong home advantage.

Considering all this, I see more value in betting on Bologna to win, as despite the absences, they play at home in a historic stadium where they usually set the pace; plus, Lazios weakened defense might concede more goals. The expected value points to an interesting opportunity on this line.

Final tip: Bet on Bologna to win, also considering a draw as a plausible result due to overall balance — but with more confidence in the home team’s victory given the context!

Good luck! 🍀⚽️

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Bologna x Lazio?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Bologna x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 22 of March

Latest news on the match between Bologna and Lazio

Bologna: Bologna is facing a significant setback after starting goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski suffered a moderate to high grade injury to his left thigh muscle, which is expected to sideline him for about six to eight weeks, leading to backup goalkeeper Federico Ravaglia taking over as the starter in the foreseeable future; the club also reported that Roma midfielder Moussa Koné sustained a muscle problem in the match against Bologna, further highlighting injury concerns for both teams.

Lazio: Lazio enters the next Serie A round with several key players unavailable: midfielder Serge Gigot will miss the next game and return in the 30th round, defender Francesco Rovella is out until the 35th round, goalkeeper Alessio Provedels season has ended, midfielder Filippo Cataldi is out until the 31st round, and defender Alessio Romagnoli will return in the 30th round; the team currently has no suspensions.

Table analysis for the game between Bologna and Lazio

Bologna: Bologna is in 8th place with 42 points, in an intermediate zone of the table. Although relatively comfortable away from the relegation zone, it is also out of the direct fight for European competition spots, which start from 6th place with 51 points. With few rounds remaining, this match is important for Bologna to confirm its stability and try to get as close as possible to the teams fighting for an international spot, but it is not a decisive game for achieving bigger goals.

Lazio: Lazio is in 9th place with 40 points, just 2 points behind Bologna. Like its opponent, it is in an intermediate region, far from both relegation and qualification for European tournaments. The match is important for Lazio to keep alive the dream of reaching a spot in international competitions, but it will hardly have a direct impact on the title race or relegation escape at this stage of the championship.

Summary: The Bologna vs Lazio match is relevant for both teams in their attempt to secure a better position and, who knows, get closer to European competition spots. However, it is not a decisive game for the title or to escape relegation, being a medium importance contest for both sides. ⚽

How the handicap and odds moved for Bologna x Lazio

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Bologna x Lazio.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x Lazio

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bologna x Lazio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1503887 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $416.50;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $676.50;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$6.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $800.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Lazio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Bologna.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Bologna x Lazio