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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Bologna x Lecce Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION Bologna wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Lecce Lecce
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x Lecce Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Lecce, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
14:00
Bologna Bologna
1.67
X
3.68
Lecce Lecce
5.12

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bologna x Lecce:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $835.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bologna x Lecce:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Lecce did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lecce, Bologna scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lecce conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bologna has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Lecce.
👉 It is not a good time for Lecce as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bologna x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 2 of November

🏟️ Bologna X Lecce – Italy Serie A
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 71.63% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.31% | Fair line: 5.46
🔴 Lecce – Winning probability: 10.06% | Fair line: 9.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bologna and Lecce.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213968 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x Lecce

Should you bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $482.40;
  • And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$202.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $482.40
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.60.

Should you bet on Lecce?

🔴 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $412.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$488.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Lecce

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Bologna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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