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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Bologna x Verona Betting tips for December 30 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 30 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION Bologna wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Verona Verona
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x Verona Betting tips for December 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Bologna x Verona, Monday, 30/12/2024
📅 30/12/2024
19:45
Bologna Bologna
1.57
X
3.90
Verona Verona
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bologna x Verona:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $785.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bologna x Verona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 Bologna did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Verona, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bologna x Verona, with Bologna as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bologna is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Bologna has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Verona playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Verona?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Verona, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bologna x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 30 of December

🏟️ Bologna X Verona – Italy Serie A
📅 30 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 83.62% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.24% | Fair line: 9.77
🔴 Verona – Winning probability: 6.14% | Fair line: 16.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bologna and Verona.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240463 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bologna x Verona

Should you bet on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $478.80;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$318.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $290.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$610.00.

Is betting on Verona worth it?

🔴 Verona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Verona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bologna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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