Cagliari x AC Milan Betting tips for November 9 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 9/11/2024 17:00 |
 Cagliari4.40 |
X 3.90 |
AC Milan  1.75 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x AC Milan:
🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $875.00!
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The main points for the tip for Cagliari x AC Milan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
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Analysis from Cagliari x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 9 of November
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🏟️ Cagliari X AC Milan – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cagliari x AC Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218440 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x AC Milan
Should you bet on Cagliari?
🔵 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $374.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$516.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $435.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.
Is betting on AC Milan worth it?
🔴 AC Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $562.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$312.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x AC Milan
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x AC Milan
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Cagliari.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x AC Milan
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
