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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Cagliari x Empoli Betting tips for September 20 in Italy Serie A
Friday, 20 September 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
PREDICTION Cagliari wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Empoli Empoli
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Cagliari x Empoli Betting tips for September 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Empoli, Friday, 20/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/9/2024
13:30
Cagliari Cagliari
2.25
X
3.25
Empoli Empoli
3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x Empoli:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cagliari wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1125.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cagliari x Empoli:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-203.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Empoli scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Empoli has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cagliari x Empoli?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cagliari x Empoli:

Analysis from Cagliari x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 20 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cagliari X Empoli – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 20 of September, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Cagliari – Winning probability: 50.06% | Fair line: 2.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.58% | Fair line: 3.91
๐Ÿ”ด Empoli – Winning probability: 24.35% | Fair line: 4.11
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cagliari x Empoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184054 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Empoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?

๐Ÿ”ต Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $625.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$125.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$155.00.

Is it worth betting on Empoli?

๐Ÿ”ด Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Empoli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Empoli

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cagliari.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Empoli

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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