Cagliari x Empoli Betting tips for September 20 in Italy Serie A
๐
20/9/2024 13:30 |
Cagliari 2.25 |
X 3.25 |
Empoli 3.20 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x Empoli:
๐ฎ Cagliari wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1125.00!
The main points for the tip for Cagliari x Empoli: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-203.0. |
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Analysis from Cagliari x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 20 of September
๐๏ธ Cagliari X Empoli – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cagliari x Empoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184054 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Empoli
Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?
๐ต Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $625.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$125.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$155.00.
Is it worth betting on Empoli?
๐ด Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$232.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Empoli
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Empoli
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cagliari.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Empoli.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Empoli
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.