Cagliari x Lecce Betting tips for February 16 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Lecce, Monday, 16/2/2026

📅 16/2/2026 19:45

Cagliari 2.05

X 3.07

Lecce 4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cagliari x Lecce:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1535.00!

🔮 Lecce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $2000.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Cagliari x Lecce:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $910.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Lecce did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 Lecce matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lecce conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cagliari has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Lecce playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Lecce as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cagliari x Lecce?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cagliari x Lecce, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cagliari x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 16 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Cagliari x Lecce

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Cagliari x Lecce.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cagliari x Lecce

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cagliari x Lecce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1479336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?

🔵 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $294.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$426.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $724.50;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$74.50.

Is betting on Lecce worth it?

🔴 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $1110.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$480.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Lecce

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cagliari.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lecce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Cagliari x Lecce