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Home Β» Predictions Β» Italy Serie A Β» Cagliari x Verona Betting tips for November 29 in Italy Serie A
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
PREDICTION No tip
Verona Verona
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Cagliari x Verona Betting tips for November 29 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Verona, Friday, 29/11/2024
πŸ“… 29/11/2024
19:45
Cagliari Cagliari
2.02
X
3.48
Verona Verona
3.57

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cagliari x Verona:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Cagliari x Verona

Important information for your tip for Cagliari x Verona:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cagliari conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Verona.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Verona as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cagliari x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 29 of November

🏟️ Cagliari X Verona – Italy Serie A
πŸ“… 29 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Cagliari – Winning probability: 52.18% | Fair line: 1.92
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.01% | Fair line: 4.17
πŸ”΄ Verona – Winning probability: 23.82% | Fair line: 4.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cagliari and Verona.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari x Verona

Is it worth betting on Cagliari?

πŸ”΅ Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $530.40
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$50.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $595.20
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$164.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Verona?

πŸ”΄ Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $616.80
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$143.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Verona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Verona

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cagliari and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cagliari.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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