Como x Lazio Betting tips for October 31 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Como x Lazio, Thursday, 31/10/2024

📅 31/10/2024 19:45

Como 2.80

X 3.35

Lazio 2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Como x Lazio:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Como x Lazio

Important information for your tip for Como x Lazio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $273.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Como scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Como x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 31 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Como x Lazio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213227 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Como x Lazio

Is it worth betting on Como?

🔵 Como: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $658.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$62.00.

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $580.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Lazio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Como, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Como.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lazio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.