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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Empoli x Cagliari Betting tips for April 6 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 06 April 2025, 13h00 Italy Serie A
Empoli Empoli
PREDICTION Empoli wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Cagliari Cagliari
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Empoli x Cagliari Betting tips for April 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Empoli x Cagliari, Sunday, 6/4/2025
📅 6/4/2025
13:00
Empoli Empoli
2.55
X
3.10
Cagliari Cagliari
2.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Empoli x Cagliari:

🔮 Empoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Empoli, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Empoli x Cagliari:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Empoli did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Empoli x Cagliari, with Empoli as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Empoli did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Empoli as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Empoli x Cagliari?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Empoli x Cagliari:

Analysis from Empoli x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 6 of April

🏟️ Empoli X Cagliari – Italy Serie A
📅 6 of April, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Empoli – Winning probability: 50.03% | Fair line: 2.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.80% | Fair line: 3.73
🔴 Cagliari – Winning probability: 23.17% | Fair line: 4.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Empoli x Cagliari is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296560 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Empoli x Cagliari

Is betting on Empoli worth it?

🔵 Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$275.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $567.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $432.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Empoli x Cagliari

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Empoli x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Empoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Empoli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Empoli x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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