Empoli x Lecce Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Empoli x Lecce, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 14:00

Empoli 2.15

X 3.10

Lecce 3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Empoli x Lecce:

🔮 Empoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Empoli, you can win up to $1075.00!

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The main points for the tip for Empoli x Lecce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lecce, Empoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Empoli has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Lecce playing at home.

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Analysis from Empoli x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Empoli x Lecce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Empoli x Lecce

Is it worth betting on Empoli?

🔵 Empoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $609.50
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$139.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it worth betting on Lecce?

🔴 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $621.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Empoli x Lecce

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Empoli x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Empoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Empoli. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Empoli x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.